Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 81347.571630 85886.638276 90425.737499 95302.227059 100389.671657 105537.392455 111136.533444
2025-05-11 73409.887553 80316.560866 87418.490980 95256.948084 103655.499537 112373.977771 122098.535525
2025-05-18 67917.868723 76434.293595 85385.753182 95475.237716 106509.869350 118190.388935 131468.115740
2025-05-25 63577.228441 73274.083097 83655.850455 95563.843332 108809.760632 123056.399820 139502.149326
2025-06-01 60693.723308 71410.465474 83068.165256 96641.433122 111958.706132 128656.497190 148182.002069
2025-06-08 57410.285681 68852.284784 81483.039039 96392.548001 113439.831026 132251.366532 154505.365655
2025-06-15 55576.069179 67797.602269 81465.754389 97796.287365 116684.154858 137749.253810 162921.258710
2025-06-22 53585.429224 66432.574077 80978.177680 98555.705072 119105.199287 142250.708883 170167.379993
2025-06-29 51433.697844 64762.354961 80032.132437 98685.880062 120716.782179 145763.165259 176238.169992
2025-07-06 49436.441492 63177.705410 79098.050381 98747.412808 122178.226243 149050.313649 182015.597980
2025-07-13 48513.158528 62828.963224 79582.647004 100450.763754 125547.911492 154554.548186 190395.880419
2025-07-20 47514.995303 62334.396248 79846.635757 101852.400685 128534.555818 159601.371809 198252.248527
2025-07-27 46159.395952 61368.363586 79521.826329 102540.434599 130684.550357 163700.762225 205063.795676
2025-08-03 44516.249085 59986.494744 78639.177768 102506.332589 131932.401715 166711.843566 210585.946446
2025-08-10 43109.794593 58848.669661 78009.863679 102741.005010 133475.194381 170059.330666 216512.238536
2025-08-17 41723.521946 57684.777689 77301.692034 102835.688514 134812.989055 173138.964867 222110.881832
2025-08-24 40911.483595 57225.441115 77450.443812 103979.329015 137435.833795 177784.594836 229634.978362
2025-08-31 39504.298692 55944.765400 76514.468898 103715.264471 138272.167834 180220.009454 234446.089818
2025-09-07 38955.360395 55766.585968 76969.018379 105204.698457 141305.199574 185373.397077 242632.035903
2025-09-14 38139.642836 55205.296062 76904.905597 106010.374924 143463.548181 189443.007150 249493.255099
2025-09-21 37080.913093 54284.888008 76343.902461 106148.472436 144753.534559 192420.560607 254999.860044
2025-09-28 36042.892685 53359.838468 75747.354310 106213.749312 145930.243762 195245.873952 260318.800838
2025-10-05 35763.761074 53454.597122 76486.246394 108020.565029 149352.896156 200918.516358 269251.269529